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Year 10 · Probability · 18 min

Systematic counting and the multiplication principle

Count multi-stage possibilities using the multiplication principle, while respecting restrictions.

01 / LEARN

The idea, step by step

Count choices stage by stage

If there are m choices for a first step and n choices for a second step for every first choice, there are mn complete choices. A tree explains why: each first branch splits into n second branches.

Identify exactly what is being made. An ordered code can start with zero, but a three-digit whole number cannot. Repetition may be allowed for a code but not for choosing different people.

Restrictions change later choices

When objects cannot be reused, the available choices decrease. A three-letter code using different letters from A,B,C,D has 4×3×2 possibilities. If repeats are allowed, it has 4×4×4.

If a restriction divides a problem into cases, count each non-overlapping case and then add. Do not multiply counts for choices that cannot be combined, or add overlapping cases.

A common trap

Using 4×3×2 for the three-digit-number example with digits 0–3.

Instead: The first digit cannot be zero, so it has only three choices.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the thinking

Example 1

Menu choices

A lunch has one of 3 mains, 2 drinks and 4 fruit choices. How many lunches?

  1. Choose a main in 3 ways.
  2. Each combines with 2 drinks and then 4 fruits.
  3. 3×2×4=24.
24.
Example 2

A zero cannot lead

How many three-digit numbers use different digits chosen from 0,1,2,3?

  1. The first digit has 3 choices:1,2,3.
  2. The next has 3 unused choices, including zero.
  3. The final digit has 2 choices.
3×3×2=18.

Check your understanding

How many two-letter codes use A,B,C with repeats allowed?

Show answer

9.

There are three choices for each of two positions:3×3.

03 / WORKSHEET

Your turn

6 questions · 14 marks · Work at your own pace.

Read the questions online
  1. There are 4 shirts and 3 trousers. How many outfits choosing one of each?
    2 marks
  2. A four-digit PIN allows 0–9 in each position and permits repeats. How many PINs?
    2 marks
  3. How many three-letter codes use different letters from A,B,C,D,E?
    2 marks
  4. Five runners fill first and second place with no ties. How many ordered results?
    2 marks
  5. How many two-digit numbers use distinct digits from 0,2,4,6?
    3 marks
  6. A student says 3 mains and 2 drinks make 5 lunches. Explain and correct.
    3 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. There are 4 shirts and 3 trousers. How many outfits choosing one of each?
    2 marks

    4×3=12.

    12.
  2. A four-digit PIN allows 0–9 in each position and permits repeats. How many PINs?
    2 marks

    10^4=10,000; a PIN may begin with zero.

    10,000.
  3. How many three-letter codes use different letters from A,B,C,D,E?
    2 marks

    5×4×3=60.

    60.
  4. Five runners fill first and second place with no ties. How many ordered results?
    2 marks

    5 choices for first and 4 for second.

    20.
  5. How many two-digit numbers use distinct digits from 0,2,4,6?
    3 marks

    3 choices for the tens digit, then 3 remaining choices.

    9.
  6. A student says 3 mains and 2 drinks make 5 lunches. Explain and correct.
    3 marks

    Every main combines with each drink.

    Multiply 3×2 rather than adding separate categories.

    There are 6 lunches.
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Factorials and simple arrangements

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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

Australian Curriculum v 9 / SA Curriculum

Compound events; systematic counting and the multiplication principle; factorials and simple arrangements; conditional language and restricted sample spaces; conditional probabilities from tables/trees; replacement and dependence; conditional versus unconditional probabilities; designing and interpreting simulations.

Official curriculum source ↗
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