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Year 12 · Continuous probability and normal distributions · 22 min

Normal distributions

Recognise the shape, parameters and limitations of normal models.

01 / LEARN

The idea, step by step

A bell-shaped family

A normal distribution is symmetric about its mean. Mean, median and mode coincide. Increasing its standard deviation gives a wider, lower curve, but total area remains one. A normal variable can theoretically take any real value.

Here the notation N(mu, sigma squared) lists mean then variance. Some calculators ask for standard deviation instead; check the input label rather than copying the second parameter automatically. An implausibly large negative tail may make a normal model unsuitable for a nonnegative quantity.

Use symmetry and sensible approximations

Half the probability lies on each side of the mean. Approximately 68%, 95% and 99.7% lie within one, two and three standard deviations. These provide quick estimates and useful checks on calculated probabilities.

The empirical rule is approximate. Use a normal cumulative calculation when precision is requested. Draw the event first, and distinguish an individual measurement from a sample mean, whose spread is smaller under independent sampling.

A common trap

Reading variance as standard deviation.

Instead: With N(mean, variance), square-root the second parameter.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the thinking

Example 1

Read the parameters

X∼N⁢(64,25). State its mean, standard deviation and P(X>64).

  1. Mean is 64.
  2. Standard deviation is 25=5.
  3. Symmetry gives probability 0.5 above the mean.
64; 5; 0.5.
Example 2

Estimate a central region

A normal variable has mean 100 and standard deviation 8. Estimate P(84<X<116).

  1. The endpoints are 100±2⁢(8).
  2. This is the central two-standard-deviation region.
  3. The empirical rule gives about 95%; the calculated normal value is about 95.45%.
About 95%.

Check your understanding

X∼N⁢(50,16). Find its standard deviation and median.

Show answer

4 and 50.

The square root of 16 is 4; normal symmetry puts the median at the mean.

03 / WORKSHEET

Your turn

6 questions · 12 marks · Work at your own pace.

Read the questions online
  1. X∼N⁢(12,9). State mean and standard deviation.
    2 marks
  2. A normal model has mean 40 and standard deviation 6. Give the central two-SD interval.
    2 marks
  3. Why is the probability at exactly the normal mean not 0.5?
    2 marks
  4. Does doubling the standard deviation change the total density area?
    2 marks
  5. A waiting-time distribution has a very long right tail. Is a symmetric normal model automatically suitable?
    2 marks
  6. X∼N⁢(30,4). Estimate P(28<X<32) using the empirical rule.
    2 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. X∼N⁢(12,9). State mean and standard deviation.
    2 marks

    The parameters are mean and variance.

    12 and 3.
  2. A normal model has mean 40 and standard deviation 6. Give the central two-SD interval.
    2 marks

    40±2⁢(6).

    [28,52].
  3. Why is the probability at exactly the normal mean not 0.5?
    2 marks

    A half-line has probability 0.5; one point has no area.

    A singleton has probability zero.
  4. Does doubling the standard deviation change the total density area?
    2 marks

    The curve widens and lowers.

    No; it stays one.
  5. A waiting-time distribution has a very long right tail. Is a symmetric normal model automatically suitable?
    2 marks

    The shape is inconsistent with a normal model; inspect actual behaviour.

    No.
  6. X∼N⁢(30,4). Estimate P(28<X<32) using the empirical rule.
    2 marks

    The endpoints are one standard deviation from the mean.

    About 0.68.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

SACE Board of South Australia

Stage 2 Mathematical Methods: continuous random variables, normal distributions and sampling distributions of sample means. Original lessons and practice.

Official curriculum source ↗
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