The idea, step by step
Read the scale before the shape
A bar-height difference can look dramatic when the vertical axis starts above zero. A nonzero scale is not automatically dishonest, but the baseline must be clear and numerical comparisons must use actual values. A larger-looking picture can also exaggerate a change when both height and width are increased.
Check units, equal numerical intervals, omitted dates and sample sizes. A graph across time should place times at their true intervals. A steep-looking segment means little until you read the horizontal and vertical scales.
Use the right denominator
Counts tell how many events occurred; rates relate them to the number of opportunities. Twelve complaints from 300 orders is 4%, while ten from 200 is 5%. The business with more raw complaints may have the lower complaint rate.
Also check causal language. Two quantities changing together does not establish that one causes the other. A responsible conclusion identifies what was actually observed and leaves room for other explanations.
| Business | Complaints | Orders | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 12 | 300 | 4% |
| B | 10 | 200 | 5% |
A common trap
The largest-looking bar proves the largest proportional change.
Instead: Read the numbers and baseline rather than relying on the visual dimensions.
See the thinking
An exaggerated sales claim
The graph shows 48 bottles on Monday and 52 on Tuesday. A caption says sales more than doubled.
- Actual increase .
- , not more than 2.
- The truncated baseline exaggerates relative bar heights; the real increase is about 8.3%.
Counts versus rates
A has 12 complaints from 300 orders; B has 10 from 200. Which complaint rate is lower?
- A: .
- B: .
- A has the lower rate despite its larger raw count.
Check your understanding
A score rises from 50 to 55. Is that a 5% increase?
Show answer
No; it is 10%.
The increase is 5 out of the original 50: .
Your turn
6 questions · 13 marks · Work at your own pace.
Read the questions online
- Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.3 marks
- A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.2 marks
- A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.2 marks
- A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.2 marks
- An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?2 marks
- Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?2 marks
Read the worked solutions
Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.
- Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.3 marks
Increase .
.
12 people; 10%. - A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.2 marks
80% of 5 has different stability from 80% of 5,000.
Voluntary or biased selection may distort the proportion.
Sample size and selection method. - A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.2 marks
.
.
A: 8%; B: 6%; B is lower. - A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.2 marks
Equal horizontal distances should mean equal times when showing change.
Use proportional spacing or a different clearly explained display.
A nine-year interval is drawn the same width as a one-year interval. - An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?2 marks
Area factor .
Viewers may infer four times the quantity when only doubling was intended.
Area becomes four times as large. - Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?2 marks
The evidence shows an association.
Other explanations and appropriate study evidence are needed for causation.
No; hot weather may influence both.
Curriculum reference & lesson scope
Australian Curriculum v9 / SA Curriculum Mathematics
Year 9 sampling, comparative distributions, centre/spread/outliers, displays, critique and statistical investigations.
Official curriculum source ↗