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Year 9 · Statistics · 14 min

Misleading graphs and representations

Check scales, denominators and missing context before accepting a statistical claim.

01 / LEARN

The idea, step by step

Read the scale before the shape

A bar-height difference can look dramatic when the vertical axis starts above zero. A nonzero scale is not automatically dishonest, but the baseline must be clear and numerical comparisons must use actual values. A larger-looking picture can also exaggerate a change when both height and width are increased.

Check units, equal numerical intervals, omitted dates and sample sizes. A graph across time should place times at their true intervals. A steep-looking segment means little until you read the horizontal and vertical scales.

Use the right denominator

Counts tell how many events occurred; rates relate them to the number of opportunities. Twelve complaints from 300 orders is 4%, while ten from 200 is 5%. The business with more raw complaints may have the lower complaint rate.

Also check causal language. Two quantities changing together does not establish that one causes the other. A responsible conclusion identifies what was actually observed and leaves room for other explanations.

BusinessComplaintsOrdersRate
A123004%
B102005%

A common trap

The largest-looking bar proves the largest proportional change.

Instead: Read the numbers and baseline rather than relying on the visual dimensions.

02 / WORKED EXAMPLES

See the thinking

Example 1

An exaggerated sales claim

The graph shows 48 bottles on Monday and 52 on Tuesday. A caption says sales more than doubled.

  1. Actual increase =52−48=4.
  2. 52⁢/48≈1.083, not more than 2.
  3. The truncated baseline exaggerates relative bar heights; the real increase is about 8.3%.
The claim is false: 4 more bottles, about 8.3%.
Example 2

Counts versus rates

A has 12 complaints from 300 orders; B has 10 from 200. Which complaint rate is lower?

  1. A: 12⁢/300=4⁢%.
  2. B: 10⁢/200=5⁢%.
  3. A has the lower rate despite its larger raw count.
A, with 4% rather than 5%.

Check your understanding

A score rises from 50 to 55. Is that a 5% increase?

Show answer

No; it is 10%.

The increase is 5 out of the original 50: 5⁢/50×100=10⁢%.

03 / WORKSHEET

Your turn

6 questions · 13 marks · Work at your own pace.

Read the questions online
  1. Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.
    3 marks
  2. A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.
    2 marks
  3. A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.
    2 marks
  4. A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.
    2 marks
  5. An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?
    2 marks
  6. Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?
    2 marks
Read the worked solutions

Equivalent correct methods earn the corresponding marks. Include units where asked.

  1. Attendance rises from 120 to 132. Find the numerical and percentage increases.
    3 marks

    Increase =12.

    12⁢/120×100=10⁢%.

    12 people; 10%.
  2. A poll reports 80% agreement without giving a sample size. Name two missing details that matter.
    2 marks

    80% of 5 has different stability from 80% of 5,000.

    Voluntary or biased selection may distort the proportion.

    Sample size and selection method.
  3. A has 8 late appointments out of 100; B has 12 out of 200. Compare late rates.
    2 marks

    8⁢/100=8⁢%.

    12⁢/200=6⁢%.

    A: 8%; B: 6%; B is lower.
  4. A graph places years 2010, 2011 and 2020 equally far apart. Explain the issue.
    2 marks

    Equal horizontal distances should mean equal times when showing change.

    Use proportional spacing or a different clearly explained display.

    A nine-year interval is drawn the same width as a one-year interval.
  5. An icon doubles in both height and width. By what factor does its area change, and why can this mislead?
    2 marks

    Area factor =2×2=4.

    Viewers may infer four times the quantity when only doubling was intended.

    Area becomes four times as large.
  6. Ice-cream sales and swimming incidents both rise in hot weather. Does this prove ice cream causes incidents?
    2 marks

    The evidence shows an association.

    Other explanations and appropriate study evidence are needed for causation.

    No; hot weather may influence both.
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Curriculum reference & lesson scope

Australian Curriculum v9 / SA Curriculum Mathematics

Year 9 sampling, comparative distributions, centre/spread/outliers, displays, critique and statistical investigations.

Official curriculum source ↗
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